Lay the draw is a popular football betting strategy for Betfair and Betdaq users. You lay the draw before the game and look to trade out in play or let it run. We’re covering out best free lay the draw tips along with a couple of strategies for exiting the trades. If you’re new to this trade then check out our how to lay the draw guide here. We’ll keep a track our our record with these trades so you can see how we’ve got on.
Lay the draw tips – 21st and 22nd October
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West Ham v Brighton 3.6 (Friday night)
Newcastle v Crystal Palace 3.6
Everton v Arsenal 3.8
Spurs v Liverpool 3.6
34 in profit (87% Strike rate)
30 wins at FT
Some recent examples of our trades
Leicester v Everton 3.55 – Got out at 1-0 on 70 minutes – finished 2-0 with a 92nd minute goal.
Watford v Palace 3.45 – Exited at 1-0 0n 70 mins right before the penalty. Finished 1-1
Southampton v Spurs 3.4 – 2-1 on 70 mins but stayed in as Southampton down to 10 men, finished 4-1.
2016-2017 season. 13/15 tips in profit following our trading plan –
132 in profit
105 wins at full time
91.66% strike rate for profitable tips.
A recent successful trade in the Europa League
How we pick our lays
What we look for in our lay the draw tips are games that look like goals and teams who are not drawing much. This helps us profile the teams an get an idea of the games to target. We avoid any games where the draw is over 4 as if you get a goal against the favourites you can’t always get out in a profit. It’s mainly about getting an idea of games where teams are in form but the odds are not too short on one of the teams winning.
This is something we’d say you need to find your own style with and go with what kind of returns you are looking for. You can do anything from getting out after any goal regardless of the time, or at the other extreme letting every trade run for the maximum profit.
How we trade is to look to get out at around 60-70 minutes if there has been a goal or at any point if a 2 goal lead is taken, this is what we will use for our above calculation of profitable trades. We will also track the number of wins we would have had if we had simply let all the trades run until full time.